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Are the Philippines still relevant to the USA?

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PalawOne

Are we still relevant to the USA?


By Fidel Abalos - The Freeman - January 25, 2025



Buried in the euphoria of a record-breaking Sinulog Festival 2025 was the reality that US President Donald Trump shall reign and rule the most powerful country on Earth.


As the euphoria dies down, we have to face the realities that possibly there could be changes in US policies that may harm us economically or territorially.


As a starter, on day one, he made true his promise to deport undocumented or illegal migrants. Just fine, if they are. But how should that be defined? Will that include those who are still processing their green cards or permanent residency?


As our country’s ambassador Jose Manuel Romuladez reported, there are between 320,000 and 350,000 (or even beyond such number) that can be potentially deported.


This policy will have a huge impact to the country. For one, out of the US$34.61 billion total remittances of our Overseas Filipino Workers (OFWs) from January to November 2024, 40.9% came from the USA.


If some of our countrymen shall be deported, that amount will substantially decrease. Knowing fully well that their remittances are the lifeline of thousands of families, consumer spending will go down as well. When it goes down, our economy will surely suffer


Secondly, President Trump’s “America First” slogan is quite threatening as well. For the time being, his emphasis is on products, not services. With all certainty, he said that it is either they manufacture the products in the USA or face tariffs. Canada is, in fact, with its oil export to the USA, won’t be spared. He is not holding his punches, it seems, despite the fact that these tariffs will make these commodities expensive to the Americans. Anxiously, the USA happens to be our largest export market too.


We have yet to hear though an official pronouncement about his plans on USA’s outsourced services. Estimated to generate around US$38 billion in 2024, this one will really hit us. Again, lest we might forget, one of Trump’s favorite slogans is “America first.” To some extent, it could mean “insourcing” (as opposed to outsourcing) or bringing jobs back to the USA.   


Last year’s report of the reputable Nomura Global Markets Research confirmed this. It said that the “Philippines is considered the most vulnerable among ASEAN nations due to the country’s close ties with the US and its reliance on the American market.”  Why?  Because Trump is expected to revive the same thing he did in his first term.


Moreover, it said that Trump plans to tighten the US immigration policy (just like before). “By the same token, remittances growth also slowed during Trump’s (first term), suggesting that a tightening in US immigration policy might affect workers’ remittances from the US which are even more sizable,” it added.


That in-sourcing or bringing back jobs to America will affect BPO revenues is a fact.  According to Nomura, such was the case during Trump’s first term as “services exports growth to the US halved to 5.1 percent from 2017 to 2019 compared to prior years.”


Obviously, therefore, if President Trump make true his threat of bringing back outsourced jobs to the USA (as he did during his first term), this industry will certainly suffer. Considering the significance of its contribution, logically, the country’s economy will be badly hit.


Notably, according to Nomura that if these risks (resulting to slowing down of BPOs and remittances if he wins) materialize, the country’s “gross domestic product (GDP) growth could lower by 0.2 percentage points.”


If these risks, indeed, materialize, we can still find some solace in the fact that our economy is expected to grow by 6.1% in 2025. However, the truth remains that some of the employees in the outsourcing industry will be directly hit.


Lastly, the most concerning of all are the skirmishes at the West Philippine Sea. With Trump’s adoration towards dictators, will the USA protect us from China’s future aggression?  Lest we forget, not long ago, he encouraged Putin to attack any NATO country (that doesn’t spend a minimum of 2% of its GDP on defense).


On the other hand, it is a fact that China is a big threat to the USA militarily and economically.


Strategically situated to counter China’s military might, is there a possibility that we shall stay relevant before President Trump’s eyes. If so, then, we can take a sigh of relief


--.

See also

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Enzyte Bob

PalawOne reposted the following: Are we still relevant to the USA?
By Fidel Abalos - The Freeman - January 25, 2025


****

Are you sure Mr. Fidel Abalos isn't Fidel Castro in incognito?


Whatever floats his boat among his flotsam.

danfinn

@PalawOne

This is a great editorial that dribbles on and on with much ado about nothing. One thing I will mention is that both America and the Philippines are supposed to be capitalist countries. So:


1. Capitalism is based on maximum return for participants.

2. It is an abuse of power for the US leader NOT to have a policy of America first, just as;

3. It would be wrong for BBM NOT to have a policy of Philippines first.


And this is the part that socialists such as that writer will never understand: There is a sweet spot that businessman Trump and good leaders will always aim for, the win-win.


One example: Philippines by its geography assists the US in containing Taiwan and its crucially important semiconductor industry. The Phillipines allows us to be present to protect the WPS shipping lanes. The US guarantees permanently the defense of the Philippines and it's territorial sovereignty in the WPS.


No country bestows charity on another unless there is some tangible benefit. Or if they do, because some president like Carter is in a good mood and wants to give things away, such actions are not sustainable across future admins. The only thing that sustains is both sides winning.

vanvalenmikevan

This sounds like communist propaganda.

Morgacj200424

@PalawOne


The OP is certainly full of doom and gloom. Funny how these stories always seem to pop up when a new administration comes into office? Fortunately most of the predictions seldom come to be.

PalawOne

@PalawOneThe OP is certainly full of doom and gloom. Funny how these stories always seem to pop up when a new administration comes into office? Fortunately most of the predictions seldom come to be. - @Morgacj200424



Being an Aussie, simply planning to live and die happily on Palawan


Frankly don't give a rats arse about any US administration ever & now


EXCEPT between any whitey, and our Palawan family and neighbours.


Whatever Trump does, don't make and treat as criminals your maids etc 


Please return gently all those sans-citizenship brave, adventurous souls.


Reputation cleanish, possibly many countries will welcome your workers


America just do yo thang and leave the rest of us behind in our real world

danfinn

@PalawOne

America just do yo thang and leave the rest of us behind in our real world.


DEAL. And we realize that in your boring lives the only exciting material you can find is anti-trump anti-American posts, your part of the deal is to put us all to sleep and post only aboit Australia 

PalawOne

@PalawOne
America just do yo thang and leave the rest of us behind in our real world.
DEAL. And we realize that in your boring lives the only exciting material you can find is anti-trump anti-American posts, your part of the deal is to put us all to sleep and post only aboit Australia - @danfinn


Well Dan the US government isn't exciting. And you misjudge me.


For a fact, we Aussies are not anti Trump, or anti any-country really,


I'm pro Philippines. All my posts lately have clearly demonstrated this.


This seems a highly personal post? Can we post about the Philippines?

bigpearl

Well P1 all I can say is that you are the OP and dragged the US into the debacle, aside that's what open forums appear to be about. As you well know us Aussies are thick skinned and can easily take it on the chin.


Back to all things Filipino, I liked Palawan a lot but found it a little isolated but a true bit of paradise in many places, I/we chose to live in La Union on Luzon to be closer to the better half's family and 5,000 relatives, no complaints nor regrets and a happy partner, an ideal life.

I often wonder what ever happened to our Swedish contributor that was setting up business in Palawan but nothing for months.

Aside political and religious posts are not well received by some of our contributors and though at times I throw tid bits into the pig through I will not suffer thin skinned opinions and simply let them wallow in the trough.

As you say this is a Philippines site so we should refrain from adding muck to mire.


OMO.


Cheers, Steve.

danfinn

@PalawOne
America just do yo thang and leave the rest of us behind in our real world.
DEAL. And we realize that in your boring lives the only exciting material you can find is anti-trump anti-American posts, your part of the deal is to put us all to sleep and post only aboit Australia  - @danfinn
Well Dan the US government isn't exciting. And you misjudge me.

For a fact, we Aussies are not anti Trump, or anti any-country really,

I'm pro Philippines. All my posts lately have clearly demonstrated this.

This seems a highly personal post? Can we post about the Philippines? - @PalawOne

Review the thread. Out of nowhere you dissed Americans here. I never said a word about Aussies but ant Aussie worth his salt must make the obligatory statement telling everybody how we annoy you etc etc.

PalawOne

Gentlemen, must admit sometimes we Aussies love taking the wind out of the-world-belongs-to-us yanks.


Exactly the same as my dearly-beloved and cheeky cute Phils wifey-gal enjoys taking it out of we Aussies.


Haha! Though, have noticed this is changing somewhat now that she became an Aussie dual-citizen also

,

Strangely enough, the moment she gained Australian citizenship, under Philippines law, she ceases being a Philippines citizen.


As well as frequent visits, we will both retire in the Philippines, so she had to undertake the Phils Embassy paper-chase, and attend their Phil Citizenship Oath Taking ceremony. This came complete with your group hand-on-heart and spoken Oath of Allegence as read out by the Philippines Ambassador in Melbourne.


So, be warned ladies and gentlemen, whenever your partner also becomes a citizen of your country, they then automatically loose their Philippines citizenship. So, no Phils bank accounts, passport etc. But say the words in front of a Phils Consulate official, with your hand-on-your-heart, and you get an impressive scroll, a classy photogaph, and a new passport. In terms of wifey relaxation/happiness, it's $500 AU very well spent.


Must admit, it's had the added benefit of less flack from dear cheeky-monkey, "You Aussies .. blah blah"  😎

mugtech

         Glad my wife is also a dual citizen, gets me a year's stay in the Philippines.  She travels on a USA passport, carries all the paperwork of her dual citizenship and a copy of our marriage license, never any problems entering or  leaving the Philippines.

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